J.Grossman, J.Matsurnura, R.Steeb - Analysis of Air-Based Mechanization and Vertical Envelopment Concepts and Technologies.pdf

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PREFACE
This document summarizes research conducted in 1998 by the RAND
Arroyo Center on an exploration and assessment of the ability to insert
mechanized forces in enemy-controlled terrain. We specifically
investigated the use of tilt-rotor aircraft for vertical envelopment
concepts, with particular emphasis on survivability implications and
the potential enabling role that technology can play. The vertical
envelopment concept used for this study was that of rapid deployment
of an air-mechanized Army After Next (AAN) battle force into ambush
positions against the second echelon of an invading Red force. The
work involved the application of high-resolution, force-on-force
simulation for the quantitative analysis. Although the research was
conducted prior to the Army’s current transformation efforts and used
a conventional Russian-based threat, it can still provide useful insights
into some of the challenges of tomorrow’s nonlinear battlespace. The
results of the research should be of interest to defense policymakers,
concept and materiel developers, and technologists.
We note that the air-mechanized (air-mech) battle force design and
employment concept used in this study represented the work of the
AAN study project in the FY96–98 timeframe and has no relationship to
the current “Air–Mech” concepts proposed by BG (ret.) David Grange
and others.* The “battle force” was a notional design construct used by
AAN to analyze possible future organizational constructs without the
constraints of current unit paradigms. The air-mech concept explored
was the organic capability, within a battle force, to air maneuver both
troops and medium-weight combat systems at both tactical and
operational depths. TRADOC’s Army Transformation Study,
Wargaming, and Analysis effort has replaced the idea of organic
operational airlift of systems with a more general-purpose capability
for external lift assets (Army and/or joint) to enable operational
maneuver by Objective Force units.
____________
*David Grange et al., Air-Mech-Strike: 3-Dimensional Phalanx; Full-Spectrum Maneuver
Warfare to Doinate the 21st Century, Paducah, KY: Turner Publications, August 2000.
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We also note that the term “vertical envelopment” as used in this report
means the use of rotorcraft (including tilt-rotor aircraft) to vertically
insert a battle force to conduct an offensive maneuver in which the
main attacking force passes around or over the enemy’s principal
defensive positions to secure objectives to the enemy’s rear. Today,
vertical envelopment includes other than purely “vertical” means (i.e.,
SSTOL) and could clearly involve other forms of maneuver
(infiltration, turning movement). TRADOC has also recognized the
inherent risks in directly attacking enemy air and ground defenses
(risks described in this document) and has acknowledged the need for
indirect approaches and offset landings, using the ground maneuver
capability of the Objective Force to close with the enemy after the air
maneuver.
This work was conducted for the U.S. Army Training and Doctrine
Command and the Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Army for
Acquisition, Logistics and Technology, within the Force Development
and Technology Program of RAND Arroyo Center. The Arroyo Center
is a federally funded research and development center sponsored by
the United States Army.
For more information on RAND Arroyo Center, contact the Director of
Operations (telephone 310-393-0411, extension 6500; FAX 310-451-6952;
e-mail donnab@rand.org), or visit the Arroyo Center’s Web site at
http://www.rand.org/organization/ard/.
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CONTENTS
Preface ...............................................
iii
Summary .............................................
vii
Abbreviations .........................................
xix
Sections
1. INTRODUCTION ................................
1
2. METHODOLOGY ................................
5
3. SCENARIO .....................................
12
4. AIR MANEUVER PHASE ..........................
17
5. GROUND COMBAT PHASE .......................
55
6. INSIGHTS ......................................
74
Bibliography ..........................................
79
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SUMMARY
BACKGROUND
During General Dennis Reimer’s tenure as the Chief of Staff of the
Army (1996–2000), he tasked Training and Doctrine Command
(TRADOC) to “conduct broad studies of warfare to about the year 2025,
frame issues vital to the development of the U.S. Army after about 2010,
and provide issues to senior Army leadership in a format suitable for
integration into TRADOC combat development programs.” TRADOC
led a multi-agency study that investigated and assessed new concepts
for a highly “air-mobile” mechanized force in the 2015–2025 time frame.
The Army After Next (AAN) AR 5-5 study was an exploratory process,
one that investigated and assessed new ideas for helping shape the far
future of the U.S. Army. Arguably, the most visible and identifiable
aspect of the AAN process was the annual strategic and operational-
level war game, held at the Army War College in Carlisle,
Pennsylvania. Prior to this major event, however, there were a number
of operational- and tactical-level activities and associated analyses that
helped provide greater analytic rigor to the AAN process. This
research, conducted in 1998, was one part of this process.
In the past, RAND has used high-resolution constructive simulation as
a tool to explore and assess the military utility of new warfighting
concepts and underlying, enabling technologies. The simulation tools
are useful for two primary reasons. First, and most apparent, the
simulation can be used to help quantify outcomes of highly complex
force-on-force interactions, which are driven by system-level inputs.
Through careful sensitivity and parametric analysis, these outcomes
can identify high-payoff, high-leverage areas of technology. Second,
simulation can provide context to warfighting concepts. By defining
force entities and laying out their associated battle plans on digitized
terrain, a simulation can provide many useful insights. Often, this
process helps to reshape and refine ideas on how such notional forces
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