Big Profit Patterns Using Candlestick Signals And Gaps - Stephen W Bigalow.pdf

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“Big Profit Patterns Using Candlestick Signals And Gaps”
“Big Profit Patterns Using Candlestick
Signals And Gaps”
How To Make A Living Trading The Markets By Mastering
Easy To Learn Techniques Hardly Anyone Else Knows About
A Candlestick Forum publication – Years of Candlestick Analysis made
available in concise formats. Information that when learned and
understood will revolutionize and discipline your investment thinking.
Copyright @ by Stephen W. Bigalow 2002
Published by The Candlestick Forum LLC
All rights reserved.
Table of Contents
Powerful Implications of Gaps……………………………………… 3
Gaps at the Bottom…………………………………………………… 5
Measuring Gaps……………………………………………………… 13
Gaps at the Top………………………………………………………. 14
Selling Gaps…..………………………………………………………. 18
Gapping Plays...………………………………………………………. 21
Dumpling Tops and Fry Pan Bottoms………………………………. 23
San-Ku – Three Gaps Up……………………………………………. 27
Breakouts……..………………………………………………………. 31
The J-Hook Pattern..…………………………………………………. 34
Island Reversals………………………………………………………. 39
Bad News Gaps.………………………………………………………. 41
Kicker Signals…………………………………………………………. 45
Summary………………………………………………………………. 50
2
Powerful
Implications of Gaps
How Do They Produce Profits With Candlesticks?
Gaps (Ku) are called windows (Mado) in Japanese Candlestick analysis. A gap or
window is one of the most misunderstood technical messages. Most investment experts
advise not to buy after a gap. This is true only about ten percent of the time. The other
90% of the time, the gaps will reveal powerful high profit trades. Candlestick signals,
correlated with the appearance of gaps, provide valuable profit-making set-ups.
What is the best investment you can make? Simple! Learning investment techniques that
make you independent of having to rely on any other investment consultation. You can
easily learn and quickly master common sense analysis that will dramatically improve
your returns for the rest of your life. You will feel confident in every trade you put on. No
more “hoping” that a trade will move in your direction. The unique built-in forces
encompassed in the candlestick signals and the strength of a move revealed by the
existence of a gap produce powerful trade factors. You can rest easy! Obtaining the
knowledge that this combination of signals reveals will produce consistent and strong
profits.
These are not “hidden” secret signals or newly discovered formulas that are just now
being exposed to the investment world. These are a combination of widely known but
little used investment techniques. Candlestick signals obviously have a statistical basis to
them or they would not still be in existence after all these centuries. Gaps have very
powerful implications. Combining the information of the two produces investment
returns that very few investors take the time to exploit.
Dissecting the implications of a gap/window makes its appearance easy to understand.
Once you understand why a gap occurs at different points in a trend, taking advantage of
what the gaps reveal becomes highly profitable. Where a gap occurs is important. The
ramification of a gap in a chart pattern is an important aspect to Japanese Candlestick
analysis. Some traders make a living trading strictly off of gaps .
Consider what a window or gap represents. In a rising market, it illustrates a price
opening higher than any of the previous day’s trading range. (For illustration in this book,
the “day” will be the representative time frame.) What does this mean in reality? During
the non-market hours, something made owning this stock tremendously desirable. So
desirable that the order imbalance opens the price well above the prior day’s body as well
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as the high of the previous day’s trading range. As seen in Figure 1, note the space
between the high of the previous day and the low of the following day.
Figure 1 – Illustration of a gap.
Gap
Witnessing a gap or window at the beginning of a new trend produces profitable
opportunities. Seeing the gap formed at the beginning of the trend reveals that upon a
reversal of direction, the buyers have stepped in with a great amount of zeal. A common
scenario is witnessing a prolonged downtrend. A Candlestick signal appears, a Doji or
Harami, Hammer, or any other signal that would indicate that the selling has stopped.
What is required to verify that the downtrend has stopped is more buying the next day.
This can be more solidly verified if the next day has a gap up move.
Many investors are apprehensive about buying a stock that has popped up from the
previous days close. A risky situation! Yet a Candlestick investor has been forewarned
that the trend is going to change, using a signal as that alert. A gap up illustrates that the
force of buying in the new upward trend is going to be strong. The enthusiasm shown by
the buyers trying to get into the stock demonstrates that the new trend should have a
strong move to it. Use that gap as a strength indicator.
Gaps occur in many different places and forms. Some are easy to see, some are harder to
recognize. This book will take you through the different situations where a gap has
appeared. Each situation will be explained in detail, (1) to give you a full understanding
of what is occurring during the move and (2) to provide a visual illustration to become
familiar with the formation, making it easy to recognize. This allows the Candlestick
investor to spot an investment situation as it is developing.
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Gaps at the Bottom
Knowing that a gap represents an enthusiasm for getting into or out of a stock position
creates the forewarning that a strong profit potential has occurred. Where is the best place
to see rampant enthusiasm? At that point you are buying near the bottom. Obviously,
seeing a potential Candlestick “buy” signal at the bottom of an extended downtrend is a
great place to buy. In keeping with the concepts taught in Candlestick analysis, we want
to be buying stocks that are already oversold to reduce the downside risk. What is better
to see is the evidence that buyers are very anxious to get into the stock.
Reiterating the basics of finding the perfect trades, as found in Mr. Bigalow’s book
“Profitable Candlestick Trading”, having all the stars in alignment makes for better
probabilities of producing a profit. Consider the Housing construction industry mid-
September 2001. The indexes were bottoming out after the 9/11 debacle.
The Housing stocks indicated the best evidence of capital inflow. The initial move to the
upside was evident with a large number of good signals found in those stocks after doing
a scan of the charts. Investors were really liking the residential home builders. This is
clearly seen in Figure 2 - CTX, Centex Corp. It gapped up the same day, illustrating that
buyers were coming into this stock with a vengeance. The initial gap is very important. It
will indicate how strong the new move will be.
Figure 2 - Centex Corp.
A gap up after a Bullish
Engulfing signal, a strong
change in investor sentiment
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